Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 58.413546 66.558703 74.917989 84.103951 93.881674 103.947578 115.062918
2025-12-21 44.453335 55.853782 68.142145 82.227511 97.791792 114.344288 133.162396
2025-12-28 39.111772 52.651233 67.740865 85.510910 105.598589 127.369308 152.526060
2026-01-04 34.243253 49.224030 66.443829 87.212181 111.147990 137.496844 168.344823
2026-01-11 29.191746 44.947855 63.637598 86.709132 113.788466 144.026753 179.846107
2026-01-18 25.018944 41.275460 61.159906 86.245717 116.179112 150.028893 190.535828
2026-01-25 21.929068 38.641880 59.675435 86.730435 119.478399 156.909309 202.082674
2026-02-01 18.772363 35.587669 57.410496 86.050400 121.220094 161.846284 211.281711
2026-02-08 16.277940 33.177291 55.767098 85.969529 123.542562 167.352278 221.045720
2026-02-15 13.778774 30.486337 53.556527 85.011810 124.669155 171.347296 228.967050
2026-02-22 12.305984 29.164002 53.063247 86.152135 128.296377 178.254496 240.251665
2026-03-01 11.114696 28.148127 52.901355 87.654045 132.321976 185.603386 252.032148
2026-03-08 9.298473 25.932038 50.960314 86.769797 133.354744 189.378361 259.646619
2026-03-15 7.468080 23.428583 48.441471 84.992534 133.170522 191.618185 265.393678
2026-03-22 7.116267 23.531516 49.713438 88.311375 139.461445 201.734210 280.538214
2026-03-29 6.425547 22.908480 49.850557 90.047716 143.702400 209.331951 292.663877
2026-04-05 5.322890 21.309634 48.407137 89.534828 144.989970 213.265539 300.360103
2026-04-12 4.366730 19.830608 47.046776 89.063252 146.276635 217.158749 307.977743
2026-04-19 3.698261 18.849664 46.405310 89.556638 148.792046 222.552890 317.396627
2026-04-26 2.926666 17.443239 44.979711 88.864403 149.696890 225.906745 324.312509
2026-05-03 2.347914 16.361178 44.013566 88.782077 151.373724 230.200985 332.356001
2026-05-10 1.746823 15.004822 42.482960 87.807090 151.808905 232.899860 338.422835
2026-05-17 1.462140 14.508037 42.411446 88.967966 155.105867 239.205861 348.912760